Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.000096 0.000108 0.000120 0.000134 0.000149 0.000166 0.000186
2024-11-03 0.000079 0.000094 0.000111 0.000131 0.000156 0.000184 0.000219
2024-11-10 0.000068 0.000086 0.000107 0.000133 0.000167 0.000208 0.000261
2024-11-17 0.000059 0.000077 0.000101 0.000132 0.000173 0.000226 0.000297
2024-11-24 0.000052 0.000071 0.000097 0.000133 0.000181 0.000246 0.000338
2024-12-01 0.000046 0.000065 0.000092 0.000131 0.000186 0.000262 0.000375
2024-12-08 0.000041 0.000060 0.000088 0.000130 0.000192 0.000279 0.000414
2024-12-15 0.000037 0.000056 0.000085 0.000130 0.000198 0.000298 0.000456
2024-12-22 0.000034 0.000053 0.000082 0.000130 0.000204 0.000317 0.000501
2024-12-29 0.000031 0.000050 0.000080 0.000130 0.000210 0.000336 0.000547
2025-01-05 0.000028 0.000047 0.000077 0.000128 0.000214 0.000350 0.000587
2025-01-12 0.000026 0.000045 0.000075 0.000129 0.000220 0.000371 0.000638
2025-01-19 0.000024 0.000043 0.000074 0.000130 0.000228 0.000394 0.000697
2025-01-26 0.000022 0.000040 0.000071 0.000128 0.000231 0.000409 0.000744
2025-02-02 0.000021 0.000039 0.000071 0.000131 0.000241 0.000438 0.000817
2025-02-09 0.000019 0.000037 0.000068 0.000130 0.000246 0.000457 0.000872
2025-02-16 0.000018 0.000035 0.000067 0.000130 0.000252 0.000480 0.000940
2025-02-23 0.000017 0.000033 0.000065 0.000129 0.000255 0.000496 0.000994
2025-03-02 0.000015 0.000032 0.000063 0.000128 0.000259 0.000515 0.001055
2025-03-09 0.000014 0.000030 0.000061 0.000127 0.000264 0.000536 0.001123
2025-03-16 0.000014 0.000029 0.000060 0.000127 0.000270 0.000559 0.001196
2025-03-23 0.000013 0.000028 0.000059 0.000128 0.000276 0.000583 0.001273
2025-03-30 0.000012 0.000026 0.000057 0.000126 0.000278 0.000599 0.001334